Introduction to Uncertainty, Transparency and Robustness in Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling and Assessments

 Dear iEMSs members

Please see the announcement below for the second webcast in this grand challenges series. Sondoss Elsawah gave the first one last Wednesday and it went very well (except for a couple of technical issues that didn’t arise in the practice).

 

We are also asking Board members to write up a report on each webcast for SESMO, which will also provide a link to the actual paper in SESMO from which the work derives and to the recording of the webcast. Jennifer Koch at OSE is leading a report team on the first webcast. 

 

Best wishes

Tony

 

 

Free open-access downloads:

Springer book on: Integrated Groundwater Management http://link.springer.com/book/10.1007%2F978-3-319-23576-9

Future of Sensitivity Analysis https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815220310112

Next Generation Modeling of Water Quality https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020WR027721

Eight Grand Challenges in Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling https://sesmo.org/article/view/16226

Software for Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815219305845

Bricolage-style Scenario Analysis of Uncertainty in Socio-Environmental Systems  https://doi.org/10.18174/sesmo.2020a16227

 

From: TIAS Info <info@tias-web.info> 
Sent: Friday, 16 April 2021 10:27 PM
Subject: 2nd TIAS * SESYNC * SESMO Webcast: Exploring Uncertainty, Transparency and Robustness in Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling and Assessments - 28 April

 

ANNOUNCEMENT

Join SESYNC, The Integrated Assessment Society, and the journal Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling for a live webcast this spring, Exploring Uncertainty, Transparency and Robustness in Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling and Assessments

Weds. 28 April 2021, 15:00-16:30 (EDT  UTC -4)
Weds. 28 April 2021, 21:00 – 22:30 (CEST  UTC +2)
Thur. 29 April 2021, 05:00 - 06:30 (AEST  UTC +10)

Expanding the development and use of socio-environmental system (SES) models is critical to solving urgent problems situated at the human-nature interface. Substantial progress is being made, but modeling challenges associated with a range of diverse issues remain. For example, these include how to best represent the human dimension in SES models, account for temporal and spatial scale mismatches, and cope with deep uncertainty.  

This is the second in a series of webcasts based on the 2020 article, Eight grand challenges in socio-environmental systems modeling by Sondoss El Sawah and colleagues (https://sesmo.org/article/view/16226). While the first webcast explored current challenges and the future of SES modeling more generally, this webcast addresses models and the environmental and development-related assessments that rely on them, in terms of uncertainty issues, transparency (including trust, bias and world views), and robustness of the conclusions.

The webcast is intended for practitioners and scholars who commission, sponsor or use SES models. It will begin with a introduction by Jan Bakkes, briefly describing the challenges. Each of the panelists will then provide comments or responses and this will be followed by an open discussion. Viewers may post questions and comments. 

PROGRAM

Welcome, Sondoss El Sawah, Associate Professor, Engineering Management, University of New South Wales, Canberra

Introduction to Uncertainty, Transparency and Robustness in Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling and Assessments, Jan Bakkes, vice-president of The Integrated Assessment Society and past senior project leader for PB, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (20 mins.)

Q & A: Presenter responds to questions from the participants (10 mins.) 

Panel Session  (Responses 10 mins. per panelist) 
•    Andrea Saltelli, Open Evidence Research, Open University of Catalonia
•    Veronica Gaffey, Chair of the Regulatory Scrutiny Board, European Commission
•    Arthur Petersen, Professor of Science, Technology and Public Policy in the Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy, University College London

Questions to the Panelists and Open Discussion (30 min) 

See the full announcement here including programme, presenters and panellists

The Integrated Assessment Society

Web: http://www.tias-web.info  

Email: info@tias-web.info